How best can we reason in the face of uncertainty? We will begin with an examination of rationality and the reasoning process including a survey of formal logic. Starting with uncertainty from a psychological and philosophical viewpoint, we will move to a careful theory of likelihood and how to reason with probabilistic models. The course will conclude with a consideration of observation and information, how to test hypotheses, and how we update our beliefs to incorporate new evidence.
The Class: Type: lecture
Requirements/Evaluation: homework, essays, presentations, exams, and participation
Extra Info: may not be taken on a pass/fail basis; not available for the fifth course option
Enrollment Preference: first-year students
Distributions: Division III; Quantative/Formal Reasoning;
Distribution Notes: QFR: This course will be covering formal logic and probability theory at sufficient depth to place this course on level with other QFR designated courses.